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Trenton’s Experts See Runyan, Holt, Donovan & Greenstein Wins --Relationship between Speaker and Senate President and Speaker and Governor Hit New Lows while Governor and Senate President Hits a New High--
Lawrenceville, NJ -- The Capitol InsightsNJ.com Panel of * Experts (*Click on More here to see who's on the panel), an often-changing group of approximately 110 association management, media, government affairs, academic and business professionals who are close observers of the workings of state government, see mixed results in next week’s elections...Capitol Insights (capitolinsightsnj.com) has recruited some of the best, brightest, and most informed professionals to lend you their wisdom. Our distinguished Panel of Experts includes the academics, reporters, association leaders, lobbyists, and business leaders with the unique perspective needed to truly understand government and politics in New Jersey.
A full listing of the survey’s “Panel of Experts” can be viewed on the website: www.capitolinsightsnj.com. It does not include anyone who holds an elected or appointed position or a job in state government and is a joint project of NJBIZ, The Rebovich Institute for NJ Politics at Rider University (www.rider.edu/rebovich), and Kaufman Zita Group, a Princeton-based public affairs consulting firm.
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
OCTOBER 25, 2010 (609) 896-7760
Trenton’s *Experts (*see below) See Runyan, Holt, Donovan & Greenstein Wins
--Relationship between Speaker and Senate President and Speaker and Governor Hit New Lows while Governor and Senate President Hits a New High--
Ben Dworkin, Director of the Rebovich Institute for New Jersey Politics, explained that, “though this is clearly not a scientific survey, it nonetheless provides a sense of the current ‘conventional wisdom’ among those who are watching state politics closely.”
Other findings of interest:
Ø For every
Ø When asked to select the “most accurate” statement concerning the Governor’s decision to cancel the ARC Tunnel, twice as many (46.2%) picked, “It was a smart move because it reinforced his image as a fiscally responsible leader and put supporters of the project in the position of having to help find additional funding someplace other than NJ” over the 23.6% who chose, “It was a way to get money into the TTF (Transportation Trust Fund) without having to raise taxes.” Just 17% selected, “It was a short-sighted abdication of leadership that will adversely impact NJ and the region for generations” while, “It was made strictly on the merits and simply recognized fiscal reality: regardless of the benefits, NJ doesn’t have the resources to be able to afford this kind of massive project at this time” was the choice of just 13.2%.
Ø When asked to rate on a scale of 1 (“not happening”) to 10 (“absolutely happening”) the likelihood of the ARC Tunnel project being revived in 2010, almost half (44.4%) chose a number less than 5 while just 7.4% chose a number greater than 7.
Ø Using the same scale, Insiders were asked to rate the likelihood that certain elements of Governor Christie’s “reform agenda” would pass both houses of the legislature.
o The ban on dual employment for all state, county and local officials and employees was seen as having the greatest likelihood of passage with more than half (52.7%) selecting a number of 7 or higher.
o Legislation to allow counties and municipalities to opt out of civil service was seen as having the least chance of success with half (49%) picking a number of 4 or lower.
Dworkin noted that, “despite the outcry in some sectors over the Governor's decision,
He added: “”The Governor, according to our survey, is seen as someone who is getting the political benefit of ‘protecting the taxpayers,’ while avoiding the responsibility of having to come with an alternative funding formula that would move the project forward."
Full results of the survey can be viewed at www.capitolinsightsnj.com. The survey was conducted October 15-19, 2010.
The CapitolInsightsNJ.com survey is unlike other opinion polls that seek the opinions of voters or residents of the
A full listing of the survey’s “Panel of Experts” can be viewed on the website: www.capitolinsightsnj.com. It does not include anyone who holds an elected or appointed position or a job in state government and is a joint project of NJBIZ, The Rebovich Institute for NJ Politics at
Capitol Insight Survey: Panel of Experts
(go to capitolinsightsnj.com )
Capitol Insights has recruited some of the best, brightest, and most informed professionals to lend you their wisdom. Our distinguished Panel of Experts includes the academics, reporters, association leaders, lobbyists, and business leaders with the unique perspective needed to truly understand government and politics in New Jersey.
Panelist are:
Michael Affuso, Vice President, NJBankers Association
Karen D. Alexander, President & CEO, New Jersey Utilities Association
Paul Anzano, Partner, Pringle, Quinn, Anzano, PC
James B. Appleton, President, New Jersey Coalition of Automotive Retailers
Michael Aron, NJN News
Steve Ayscue, Democratic Strategist
Lawrence E. Bathgate II, Esq., Partner, Bathgate, Wegener & Wolf
Philip K. Beachem, President, New Jersey Alliance for Action
John O. Bennett, Former Senate President / Partner, Dilworth Paxson
Jim Benton, Executive Director, New Jersey Petroleum Council
Haskell Berman, Chief of Staff, HealthCare Institute of New Jersey
Roger A. Bodman, Senior Partner, Public Strategies Impact, LLC
Paul N. Bontempo, Partner, MBI-GluckShaw
Thomas A. Bracken, President, Tristate Capital Bank-NJ
Brad Brewster, Partner, Princeton Public Affairs Group
Robert Briant, Jr., CEO, Utility & Transportation Contractors Association
David Brogan, Vice President, Environmental Policy, NJBIA
Richard J. Brunelli, President, RJ Brunelli and Co. Inc.
Cynthia Burton, Political Reporter, Philadelphia Inquirer
Tom Byrne, Byrne Asset Management
Bruce Caswell, Political Science, Rowan University
Peter F. Cammarano, Partner, Cammarano and Hagan
James Cobb, Director of Governmental Affairs, New York Shipping Association
Joseph A. Corbo, Jr., President, Casino Asssociation of New Jersey
Christopher J. Daggett, President and CEO, Geraldine R. Dodge Foundation
Tom Dallessio, Executive Director, Leadership New Jersey
Allison DeBlois, Chief of Staff, New Jersey Health Care Quality Institute
Angela Delli Santi, Statehouse Reporter, Associated Press
Barbara DeMarco, Vice President, Porzio Governmental Affairs
Ulises Diaz, Verizon
Josie DiRienzo, Manager, State Governmental Affairs, PSEG
Linda M. Doherty, President, New Jersey Food Council
Beth Dohm, Kaufman Zita Group
John Donnadio, Deputy Executive Director, New Jersey Association of Counties
Joseph V. Doria, former Speaker, New Jersey General Assembly
Deborah Dowdell, President, New Jersey Restaurant Association
William G. Dressel, Jr. , NJ League of Municipalities
Kevin Drennan, Director of Governmental Affairs, NJ, Cablevision
Paul T. Fader, Esq. , Fmr. Chief Counsel to Govs. McGreevey & Codey
Adam E. Falk, Comcast
Dale Florio, Princeton Public Affairs Group
Jamie Fox, Fox & Shuffler
Al Gaburo, Partner, Princeton Public Affairs Group
Richard Gannon, Chairman, Winning Strategies/Global
Rudy Garcia, Partner, MBI Gluck-Shaw
Angelo J. Genova, Co-founder, Genova Burns, Attorneys at Law
Noreen Giblin, Attorney, Gibbons P.C.
R. Barbara Gitenstein, President, The College of New Jersey
Carl J. Goldberg, Managing Partner, Roseland Property Company
Darryl G. Greer, CEO, NJ Association of State Colleges & Universities
Bob Guarasci, CEO, New Jersey Community Development Corporation
Kevin P. Hagan, Partner, Cammarano & Hagan
Brigid Callahan Harrison, Professor of Political Science and Law, Montclair State University
Debbie Hart, President, BioNJ
Harold L. Hodes, Democratic Strategist
John Holub, President, NJ Retail Merchants Association
James W. Hughes, Dean, Edward J. Bloustein School of Planning and Public Policy at Rutgers University
John W. Indyk, Director of Governmental Affairs, Health Care Association of New Jersey
Bob Ingle, Senior Political Columnist, Gannett New Jersey Newspapers
Darryl Isherwood, Editor, PolitickerNJ
Jeff Kaszerman, Government Relations Director, NJ Society of CPAs
William Kettleson, Regional Vice President Government Affairs, Comcast
David Jones, President, State Troopers Fraternal Association
Paul Josephson, Partner, Hill Wallack/Government Process Solutions
Adam Kaufman, Kaufman Zita Group
James A. Kocsi, District Director, U.S. Small Business Administration
John Kohler, Senior Legislative Agent, Riker Danzig
Aladar G. “Al” Komjathy, Managing Partner, KomjathyStewart Government Affairs LLC
Paul R. Langevin, President, Health Care Association of NJ
Jeannine Frisby LaRue, Founder, LaRuelist Report
Richard Lee, Communications Director, The Hall Institute of Public Policy
John Leyman, Director of Governmental Affairs, Horizon Blue Cross Blue Shield of New Jersey
Rick Lloyd, Executive Director, State Government Affairs, Johnson & Johnson
Dianna Lykins, President, Insurance Council of New Jersey
Bev Lynch, B. Lynch Associates
Curt Macysyn, Executive Vice President, Community Associations Institute, NJ Chapter
William J. Maer, Partner, Public Strategies IMPACT, LLC
Joseph Marbach, Dean, College of Arts and Sciences, Seton Hall University
Clark Martin, President, MBI*GluckShaw
Bob Master, Legislative and Political Director, Communications Workers of America, District One
David Matos, Jr., President, The Matos Group
Art Maurice, Tonio Burgos & Associates
John P. McAlpin, State House Bureau Chief, Bergen Record
Kevin McArdle, Statehouse Correspondent, Millennium Radio New Jersey/ NJ 101.5 FM
Peter J. McDonough, Jr., Eagleton Institute of Politics at Rutgers University
Michael McGuinness, CEO, NAIOP New Jersey
Gualberto “Gil” Medina, former Secretary, New Jersey Department of Commerce
Randy Minniear, Senior Vice President, Government Relations and Policy, New Jersey Hospital Association
Tom Moran, Editorial Page Editor, The Star-Ledger
Tricia Mueller, Political Director, NJ Carpenters Union
Michael Murphy, Managing Partner, Impact NJ, LLC
Patrick Murray, Director, Monmouth University Polling Institute
Brian M. Nelson, Esq., Menna Supko & Nelson LLC
Lynn Nowak, Executive VP, Porzio Governmental Affairs
Patrick J. O’Keefe, Director of Economic Research, J.H. Cohn, LLP
Eric Orlando, Legislative Representative, Kaufman Zita Group
Robert A. Ortiz, Jr., Partner, Florio Perrucci Steinhardt & Fader, LLC
David J. Pascrell, Director, Gibbons PC
William J. Pascrell, III, Partner, Princeton Public Affairs Group
Anthony Pizzutillo, Partner, Smith Pizzutillo LLC
Marcus Rayner, Executive Director, The New Jersey Lawsuit Reform Alliance
Michael P. Riccards, Executive Director, Hall Institute of Public Policy
Mary Kay Roberts, Partner, Riker Danzig
Idida Rodriguez, Partner, 1868 Public Affairs, LLC
Julie Roginsky, President, Comprehensive Communications Group
Betsy Ryan, President & CEO, NJHA
Wardell Sanders, President, NJ Association of Health Plans
John Sarno, President, Employers Association of NJ
Jeffrey Scheininger, President, Flexline/US Brass & Copper Corp. and Vice Chairman, NJ Chamber of Commerce
Sharon E. Schulman, Executive Director, William J. Hughes Center for Public Policy, Stockton College
Jim Schulz, Director of Governmental Affairs, New Jersey Dental Association
Mark Sheridan, Partner, Drinker Biddle & Reath
Donald Sico, President, Donald Sico & Co. LLC
Joseph A. Simonetta, Partner, Public Strategies Impact, LLC
Troy Singleton, Vice President, NJ Carpenter Contractor Trust
Mark Smith, Partner, Smith Pizzutillo LLC
Lynne Strickland, Executive Director, Garden State Coalition of Schools
Charles Stile, Columnist, The Record
Richard Stokes, Counsel, Property Casualty Insurers Association of America
Bob Sommer, President, Rock Entertainment Mgmt
Jason Springer, Communications Director, NJ Democratic State Committee
Michael Symons, News Editor, Gannett Statehouse Bureau
Jeremy Teigen, Associate Professor of Political Science, Ramapo College
Rick Thigpen, VP State Government Affairs, PSEG
Brain Thompson, NJ Reporter, WNBC-TV
Michael Torpey, Partner, 1868 Public Affairs, LLC
Patrick Torpey, Partner, 1868 Public Affairs, LLC
Michael P. Turner, President, Burton Trent Public Affairs, LLC
Mark Valli, President & CEO, New Jersey After 3
Mike Vrancik, Director, Government Relations, NJ School Boards Association
Jeffrey A. Warsh, Partner, MBI GluckShaw
Sharon Waters, Editor, NJBIZ
John Weingart, Professor, Eagleton Institute of Politics
Melanie Willoughby, Senior Vice President, New Jersey Business & Industry Association
Tom Wilson, Partner, Kaufman Zita Group
Peter J. Woolley, Fairleigh Dickinson University
Ted Zangari, Chair, Law & Public Policy Practice Group, Sills Cummis & Gross PC
Adam Zellner, President, Greener by Design
Patrizia Zita, Kaufman Zita Group
George R. Zoffinger, President & CEO, Constellation Capital Corp.
